Forecasters say lack of historical data makes accurate UAE predictions tricky…
We had snow in Ras Al Khaimah last month, and this summer is again being predicted as the hottest ever, but forecasters say the weather in the UAE is almost impossible to accurately predict.
The lack of historical data makes predicting the weather – at best an inexact science – particularly difficult in the UAE.
Dave Thomas, a meteorologist who has 25 years of experience in the region told The National: “Looking at the data that is available, there is a trend for increasing mean temperatures but that doesn’t simply that this summer is going to be the hottest,” he said.
He added: “People immediately jump to the conclusion that this will result in the next summer producing the highest temperatures ever but it’s rare that we break temperature records during the summer months.”
According to Thomas, the fact that we measure the weather from Dubai Airport is an important factor in the results.
“Thirty years ago, Dubai airport was outside the city. The location hasn’t moved but the amount of tarmac and concrete both at the airport and in the surrounding area has increased dramatically,” he said.
He added: “It means the minimum temperatures are now considerably higher than previously, although this heat island effect is not entirely responsible for these changes,”